Sunday, December 29, 2013

FRB: H.15 Release--Selected Interest Rates--Historical Data

FRB: H.15 Release--Selected Interest Rates--Historical Data

Here is a link to the Federal Reserve's interest rate database.  Note that the 30-year treasury bond interest rate and Moody's BAA corporate bond rate are near the bottom of the page.  Daniel Moore of the Financial Market Vigilante blog illustrated in an important article that when the spread between the 30-year bond interest and the BAA corporate bond interest goes significantly above 2%, we are at a stock market top.  So, it would be a good idea to monitor the interest rate spread every week or two in order to get out of the stock market before most people do.  Currently, we are safe, though.


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