Monday, January 25, 2016

Health Benefits of Boron | Organic Facts

Health Benefits of Boron | Organic Facts



Here is a great article on the benefits of boron.  This mineral is definitely useful for maintaining strong bones.  It increases calcium levels in bones and cartilage.  Moreover, boron reportedly helps against heart disease.  It reduces fat and cholesterol.  In addition, it decreases fungal infections.  Synerflex is the capsule form of boron that I prefer, and it includes other ingredients that help repair joints.


Saturday, January 23, 2016

Do The Bulls Have Any Reason For Hope? | Seeking Alpha

Do The Bulls Have Any Reason For Hope? | Seeking Alpha



Chris Ciovacco has written an outstanding article along with charts to explain the dangers of the stock market in 2016.  There is also hope if the market turns around as it did in 2011 and 1995.  We just don't have enough facts yet to determine the true direction of stocks.  The current situation is bearish because the S&P 500 is below its 50 day and 200 day moving averages.  Until the price of SPY gets above its 50 day line, and the 50 day line slope turns upward, we might be better off sitting on the sidelines.

Friday, January 22, 2016

The One Key Indicator That Will Determine Market Direction | Seeking Alpha

The One Key Indicator That Will Determine Market Direction | Seeking Alpha



Bret Jensen has written an excellent article that suggests the stock market may have turned around.  He used the high-yield corporate bond fund (HYG) as an indicator of market direction.  I agree with Bret on this.  The NYSE McClellan Oscillator ($NYMO) has also come off the bottom.  He also listed two stocks that would be worth buying if the HYG bounce holds up.

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Testing the NYSE TICK Index - Analysis Concepts - Labs - Education - TradeStation

Testing the NYSE TICK Index - Analysis Concepts - Labs - Education - TradeStation



This is an outstanding article explaining the $TICK indicator for trading.  It is the sum of upticks and downticks on the NYSE.  TradeStation has determined that it can be profitable to go long when $TICK is oversold at -800 or -1000.  I plan to use $TICK along with other indicators to decide whether or not we are at short term bottom areas of the stock market.

Top 9 Silver ETFs

Top 9 Silver ETFs



This website has a table for 9 popular silver ETFs.  I know commodities are not popular right now, but oil might be near the bottom, and Chase Bank has reportedly been buying silver.  I already own a triple oil long ETF, UWTI, and I plan to buy more this week.  I also intend to buy USLV, the 3x long silver ETF.  These stocks will be long term holdings, though, because neither of these commodities will make super gains right away.  It may take two years to make a substantial profit, but the upside for stocks in general may be a lot less.

Here's Where Crude Oil Supply Will Unexpectedly Be Cut - The United States Oil ETF, LP (NYSEARCA:USO) | Seeking Alpha

Here's Where Crude Oil Supply Will Unexpectedly Be Cut - The United States Oil ETF, LP (NYSEARCA:USO) | Seeking Alpha



Here is a very good article on how the current oversupply of oil could eventually be resolved.  Nobody really wants to take a production cut.  However, some companies will have to stop production at some point to preserve their existence.  We will find the bottom price for oil when enough producers have reduced their supply of oil so that demand is actually more than supply.



Dow futures fall more than 300 points as oil, Asia selloff rattle investors

Dow futures fall more than 300 points as oil, Asia selloff rattle investors



This is an outstanding article about why we may be truly falling into a bear market.  As Rebecca O'Keeffe said, every upturn is met by deeper falls.  I was trying to be optimistic about Google and Facebook, but the rest of the stock market is going to pull these good stocks down.  I have entered tight stops to exit GOOG and FB today if the market falls hard like the futures indicate.



In addition to oil and futures bad news, $NYMO (NYSE McClellan Oscillator) is still in a double bottom around -81, and it will most likely stay there today or go lower.  This is highly unusual because $NYMO usually has V shape recoveries from oversold conditions.  The fact that the McClellan Oscillator is stuck in a greatly negative pattern means there will probably be no strong recovery.  We are about to take the next step down in a new bear market.



I am short the Dow, and I plan to add to my TMF position (3x long term treasuries) today because I believe we have fallen over the brink.  The stock market top is in, and only downside remains.  Even if we eventually get a positive reversal, I do not believe we will see the Dow at 18,000 again anytime soon.


Saturday, January 16, 2016

Why oil could plunge to $20 a barrel, but probably not $10 - MarketWatch

Why oil could plunge to $20 a barrel, but probably not $10 - MarketWatch



Here is an outstanding article about how low the price of oil can actually go.  The short answer is that oil could briefly go below $20 a barrel, but it could never last long at $10 per barrel because Saudi Arabia cannot supply the whole world with oil.  The author presented an excellent chart which showed the short-term break even costs for various countries.  We are getting close to where some countries may have to shut off their supply.  This in turn will increase the price of oil.



If you are a nimble trader, you could possibly make money playing the volatile movements of oil with UWTI and DWTI, the 3x up/down oil price ETFs.  The buying and selling should be done at the extreme edges of price movement because the stock market could easily over-react to oil prices for months to come since we have so much supply and a huge amount of speculation going on.



Wednesday, January 6, 2016

How To Spot A 2016 Recession While On The Horizon, And Prepare For It | Seeking Alpha

How To Spot A 2016 Recession While On The Horizon, And Prepare For It | Seeking Alpha



This is a great article on which economic indicators are really important and to what degree they are important.  For example, the non-manufacturing ISM report affects 68% of the GDP, and it is currently positive.  Secondly, the GPDNow report of the Atlanta Fed is also positive although it shows a slowing economy.  So, basically we should cautiously be invested in stocks.  Most of my money is invested in dividend stocks.  My second biggest investment area involves internet stocks like GOOG, PNQI, and FDN because the internet sector contains the strongest stocks.