Tuesday, September 3, 2013

ProShares Ultra Silver ETF Chart - Yahoo! Finance

ProShares Ultra Silver ETF Chart - Yahoo! Finance

Here is a chart of AGQ, the leveraged silver ETF.  You could have easily bought AGQ in July for $16-$17, and the stock was selling for $25 on September 3, 2013.  If you bought the stock for $16.50 in July, you could have sold it on September 3 for a 50% profit.  Since I know the Yahoo Finance link for AGQ will not show this chart too long due to daily updates, I have shown a Paint snapshot of the September 2013 situation below.  Double-click the chart below to see a bigger image.

Now, how should I have known that July 2013 was a valid bottom for silver?  First, silver itself was selling for around $20 at the time, and that is the break even price for most miners.  Exactly how high silver goes in the future is a mute point when silver is at the bottom.  It was due for a bounce off the bottom because silver demand is still present.

Secondly, the London Bullion Market website has what is known as a Gold Forwards (GOFO) page where it lists gold delivery prices.  The GOFO number was negative for several days in the first half of July, and this is a sign of a gold bottom.  Since gold and silver move together, the GOFO negative value was a clue that both gold and silver would probably be moving up in price, and that is exactly what happened in August and September.


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